Suddenly everybody seems to be abuzz about the "I" word. But not so fast.
Assuming
every Democrat and independent votes to convict in a Senate trial, Trump would only need
34 Republican senators to vote to acquit. He could lose 19 Republicans
and survive. I think that would be a very reachable goal given Trump's
continued popularity among rank and file Republicans.
The number one
priority for most of them always is getting reelected. What they really
would want to avoid is getting primaried in the next election, which
could certainly happen if they vote to convict. Then there is the
possibility that one or two Red State Democrats might also vote to
acquit, which would put Trump in an even better situation.
But
having said that, if he survives by only one or two votes that would
most likely paralyze the rest of his presidency and doom his reelection
chances. And unless he gets a pardon he could be looking at jail time
after leaving office in 2021. But we shall see. Nobody knows for sure
how this will play out.
President Trump is turning out to be a great statesman and a great president. God bless you President Trump.