Suddenly everybody seems to be abuzz about the "I" word. But not so fast.
Assuming
 every Democrat and independent votes to convict in a Senate trial, Trump would only need 
34 Republican senators to vote to acquit. He could lose 19 Republicans 
and survive. I think that would be a very reachable goal given Trump's 
continued popularity among rank and file Republicans.
The number one 
priority for most of them always is getting reelected. What they really 
would want to avoid is getting primaried in the next election, which 
could certainly happen if they vote to convict. Then there is the 
possibility that one or two Red State Democrats might also vote to 
acquit, which would put Trump in an even better situation.
But 
having said that, if he survives by only one or two votes that would 
most likely paralyze the rest of his  presidency and doom his reelection
 chances. And unless he gets a pardon he could be looking at jail time 
after leaving office in 2021. But we shall see. Nobody knows for sure 
how this will play out.
 
 
    
		
President Trump is turning out to be a great statesman and a great president. God bless you President Trump.